L7-Banner-728×90
USDCAD
USDCAD

USD/CAD Outlook: Greenback Outpoints the Loonie in the Battle of Employment Reports

Prefer us on Google

Archived Article This article was published more than 5 months ago. The market data, prices, forecasts, and analysis were accurate at the time of publication but may have changed since then. Please use this article for historical reference only and refer to our latest content for current market information.

Summary:
  • The USD/CAD is trading higher after the US employment data proves to be better than the Canadian version, giving the greenback the win over the loonie.

The USD/CAD is up 0.53% on the day after the jobs reports of both neighbours showed contrasting fortunes. 

The US saw its economy add 943K non-agric jobs, reducing the unemployment rate from 5.9% to 5.4%. In contrast, Canada only added 94K jobs, far less than the previous month’s creation of 239.7K jobs. The unemployment rate in Canada also fell from 7.8% to 7.5%, but both data sets did not meet the market expectations.

ATFX Cashback 336×280 inline posts

With the US outpointing Canada on another Friday of a double jobs report release, the greenback saw fresh demand at the expense of the loonie, allowing the USD/CAD to post an upside move this Friday.

Technical Levels to Watch

The breakout from the wedge sets the USD/CAD up for a measured move towards 1.26477. This move needs to take out 1.25964, which serves as the immediate resistance barrier. A further advance could bring in 1.27419 and 1.27978 into the picture. 

On the flip side, rejection at 1.25964 leads to a return move that tests the integrity of the 1.24790 support level. Loss of this integrity allows 1.24489 to become a new downside target, with 1.23998 and 1.23028 serving as potential targets below this level. This move would also invalidate the wedge. 

USD/CAD: Daily Chart