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GBP/USD Trades Lower as BoE Fails to Deliver Hawkish Move

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Archived Article This article was published more than 5 months ago. The market data, prices, forecasts, and analysis were accurate at the time of publication but may have changed since then. Please use this article for historical reference only and refer to our latest content for current market information.

Summary:
  • The GBP/USD pair is trading lower after the BoE failed to cut the asset purchase facility in what would have been a hawkish surprise.

The GBP/USD pair fell 0.29% on Thursday after the Bank of England (BoE) failed to deliver the hawkish tilt that the markets had hoped for. 

The BoE voted unanimously to retain the 0.1% interest rate and left the asset purchase facility (APF) targets at current levels in an 8-1 vote. The dissenting vote came from known hawk Andy Haldane in his last participation as the BoE’s Chief Economist. The markets were expecting the BoE to deliver a hawkish surprise with a marked reduction of the APF. However, this was not to be, and the asset purchase facility remains at 895 billion pounds, leading to a selloff on the GBP/USD.

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Technical Outlook for GBP/USD

The bearish daily candle has violated the 1.3948 price mark well below the 3% penetration levels needed to confirm a breakdown. Despite a slight pullback, the bias remains bearish in the short-term, and follow-through selling showcased by a bearish outside day candle could send the pair to the 1.38616 price support. Further decline could extend the drop towards 1.38126, with 1.37463 also waiting in the wings as a potential end-point for the evolving bearish flag pattern. 

On the other end of the rope, failure to establish adequate selling pressure could lead to a recovery move that takes out 1.4005, thus invalidating the pattern. This would clear the path towards 1.40602 and provide a pathway towards the neckline of the rounding top at the 1.41000 psychological resistance level.

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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