Shell Share Price Forecast: Fundamentals Seem Favourable

The Royal Dutch Shell share price popped on Monday as the price of crude oil rebounded. The RDSA and RDSB shares jumped by more than 1.95% to 1,422p and 1,413p, respectively. Other energy stocks like BP, ExxonMobil, and Chevron share prices also bounced back.

Crude oil price rally

The Shell share price has been under intense pressure as investors reacted to the significant risks posed by the new Covid-19 pandemic. Besides, many countries like China, Australia, and New Zealand have already imposed new restrictions on their population. As a result, crude oil prices dipped from their year-to-date high of more than $76 to below $65. 

This turnaround happened on Monday as investors reacted to the reduced risks in the market. This pushed the price of Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) up by more than 5%. The two rose to more than $68 and $65, respectively. Other commodities like natural gas, gasoline, and copper also rebounded.

The strong crude oil prices were bullish for oil and gas stocks like Shell and BP. Besides, these companies make their money in periods of high oil and natural gas prices.

Fundamentally, analysts argue that Shell is a compelling buy. For one, it is one of the most profitable supermajors. It is also a major holder of key liquified natural gas resources. Additionally, Shell has one of the biggest dividend yield in the industry and has pledged to increase its payouts by about 4% per year. It is also relatively undervalued, with a DCF valuation showing that it is cheap by about 45%, as shown below.

Shell share price forecast

The daily chart shows that the Royal Dutch Shell stock price has been in a tight range recently. The stock remains between the key support and resistance level at 1,338p and 1,506p. Along the way, the shares are close to the 25-day and 50-day moving averages. It is also at the same level as the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. 

Therefore, at this point, the overall outlook of the RDSA and RDSB shares is neutral. A compelling bull case will be made if the stock moves above the resistance at 1,506p while a bearish view will be verified if it moves below 1,338p. Still, for long-term investors, holding the stock looks like a good idea because of its valuation and high dividend payouts.

Shell Share Price