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Walmart Stock Falls Despite Revenue Beat and Raised FY26 Guidance

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Archived Article This article was published more than 5 months ago. The market data, prices, forecasts, and analysis were accurate at the time of publication but may have changed since then. Please use this article for historical reference only and refer to our latest content for current market information.

Walmart shares dropped more than 5% on Thursday after the company raised its full-year guidance and posted strong Q2 revenue growth. Profit pressures tied to tariffs and inflation spooked investors, overshadowing a top-line beat. On Friday, the stock is steady in pre-market trade around $98 as the market weighs whether the selloff was an overreaction or the start of a deeper pullback.

Why Did Walmart Stock Drop After Earnings?

Walmart turned in another quarter of sales growth, with fiscal Q2 revenue climbing 4.8% to $177.4 billion. The strength came from a 25% surge in e-commerce and steady same-store gains. Its push into advertising also continues to pay off, with ad revenue up 46% as Walmart deepens the monetization of its digital platforms.

Earnings, though, told a different story. Adjusted EPS landed at $0.68, shy of the $0.73 analysts were looking for. Rising tariff costs and thinner margins ate into the top line. Even as management raised full-year guidance, calling for 3.75–4.75% sales growth and EPS in the $2.52–$2.62 range, the market wasn’t impressed. The miss on profit was enough to spark Walmart’s sharpest one-day selloff in months.

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Walmart Stock Technical Analysis

  • Current price: $97.96 (pre-market $98.07)
  • Pivot level: $98.00
  • Immediate resistance: $101.50, then $104.00
  • Support: $96.00, then $92.50

WMT slipped under its $98 pivot on Thursday before finding support near $96. If the stock fails to hold that level, the next cushion sits at $92.50. On the upside, a rebound above $101.50 could revive momentum toward $104, last week’s high.

Walmart Stock Forecast: Can Bulls Regain Control?

The long-term story remains intact. E-commerce is scaling, advertising is a powerful margin driver, and Walmart+ membership continues to expand. But near-term, the market is focused on margins, not sales. Bulls need to see cleaner EPS delivery to justify chasing highs above $104. Bears argue tariff costs could linger into FY27, capping upside.

For now, WMT looks like a consolidation trade: steady on fundamentals but hostage to headlines on costs and trade policy. Traders should watch $96 on the downside and $101.50 on the upside for clues on direction.