- Bitcoin price has been struggling to go above $100,000 since mid-November and is down by 9% in the last month.
- Institutions are still buying Bitcoin via ETFs despite recent pressures.
- The December Federal Reserve interest rate decision could bring in fresh impetus into Bitcoin price.
Bitcoin price hasn’t been able to get past $100,000 since mid-November 2025. At the time of this writing, the cryptocurrency is trading for about $91,000, which is a 9% drop in value over the past month due to general market fears. This drop comes after an all-time high of more than $126,000 in early October, which was caused by excitement about ETFs. Since then, people have been taking profits and the economy has been uncertain. With just weeks left in the year, can Bitcoin reclaim $100,000? And what should investors do; buy the dip or sell into resistance?
What’s Influencing Bitcoin Price?
There are a few reasons why Bitcoin might go up in the next few weeks. One big reason is that institutions are still buying Bitcoin, via spot ETFs. Other is that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% on December 10, priced at 94% likelihood per Polymarket and CME FedWatch data. Such easing could boost liquidity, historically favoring risk assets like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has often had big drops before, and then bounced back to new highs. In the end, the route is likely to be unstable, but the mix of ongoing institutional interest, a good macro environment, and historical seasonal strength makes it very probable that Bitcoin will retest and maybe even stay above $100,000 by the end of the year.
Risks Persist
Headwinds on Bitcoin price persist. December’s historical mixed performance, combined with on-chain signals of whale distributions and long-term holder sales, suggests caution. A Reuters poll highlights bearish options positioning, with only 30% odds for closing above $100,000. If unemployment data surprises to the upside or regulatory scrutiny intensifies, Bitcoin could retest $80,000 support.
Short-term traders face volatility risks. With the Fear & Greed Index at 25 (fear territory), per CoinMarketCap, selling pressure could dominate if $90,000 support fails. Yet, a break above this level might trigger momentum buying toward $100,000.
Should Investors Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Investors need to look at things from a different angle right now. The long-term positive view based on institutional adoption (spot ETFs) and whale accumulating seen on-chain backs up the choice to invest. Long-term holders frequently see short-term pullbacks toward important support levels as opportunities to buy more, especially since Bitcoin has historically shown resilience.
Conversely, selling now might mean losing money or missing out on a potential rally at the end of the year. For most investors, holding or buying a little bit at a time might be the best approach.
Bitcoin Price Forecast
Bitcoin’s daily chart reveals control by the bears, with the RSI at 45, with the pivot at 92,070. It has support at $91,100 and $89,500; if it falls below $88,600, it might drop to $80,400. If it breaks past $95,600 and $98,150, it could aim for action above $100,000.
Bitcoin price daily chart on December 5, 2025 with key support and resistance levels. Created on TradingView
The main reasons are the sustained structural bid from institutional capital flowing through spot Bitcoin ETFs and the supportive macroeconomic backdrop, particularly the expectation of relaxed monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
A 94% likely 25-basis-point cut on December 10 could enhance liquidity, historically boosting Bitcoin, according to CME FedWatch tool.
For most investors, a Hold strategy or dollar-cost averaging is often the most prudent approach. Long-term investors may view pullbacks toward key support (like $93,000) as accumulation opportunities.
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