BP Share Price Outlook Ahead of Earnings. Is it a Good Buy?
BP share price has moved sideways in the past few days as investors focus on the performance of crude oil and natural gas prices. The stock is trading at 383p ahead of the upcoming quarterly results that are scheduled for August 2nd. The stock is about 16% below the highest level in June.
BP earnings ahead
The BP stock price will be in the spotlight this week as several large oil and gas companies publish their results and as commodity prices recoil. Brent, the international benchmark, has dropped from this year’s high of $136 to about $97.41. Likewise, West Texas Intermediate has dropped to about $93. Like other companies in the industry, BP makes more money when oil and gas prices are at an elevated level.
BP will publish its second-quarter results on August 2nd. Analysts expect the company’s revenue and profitability to rise sharply in the second quarter as oil and gas prices and demand rose worldwide. The company will also restate its asset value as Shell did two weeks ago. With oil prices above the 2020 low, Shell boosted its balance sheet by over $4 billion. BP will go ex-dividend on August 11th.
Analysts expect that BP’s revenue soared from $49.26 billion in Q1 to over $60.58 billion in the second quarter. At the same time, its total profit is expected to rise from – $6.27 to $2.12 per share. The loss in the first quarter happened after the company decided to exit its Russian business as the invasion of Ukraine continued.
BP share price forecast
Turning to the four-hour chart, we see that the BP stock price has been moving in a downward trend in the past few days. It formed a downward channel pattern that is shown in black. The price is now slightly below the upper side of the descending channel. It has also moved to the 25-day and 50-day moving averages.
Therefore, I expect the stock to continue falling as sellers target the lower side of the channel at 360p. A move above the resistance level at 400p will invalidate the bearish view.