Lloyds Share Price Tanks 2% – Is 38p Next?

Summary:
  • Lloyds shares have met my bearish price target of 41p. LON: LLOY now seems to be heading for a retest of 38p.

Lloyds share price declined 3.7% from its last weekly close as the British bank reported a 25% reduction in its third-quarter earnings. A glance at its daily chart shows the bull attempted to break above the $41.3 key level but failed to do so. At the time of writing, the shares of the British bank are changing hands at 40.3p and have shaved 2% from its share value.

The FTSE 100 extended its losses on Friday after the Middle East conflict remained a concern. At the start of the US session, it stood at 7,292 points. The recent correction in bond yields helped lift the US stock market sentiment but the UK equities remain in a tailspin.

The UK bank stocks suffered today as NatWest decreased its yearly net-interest margin guidance. Earlier this week, Barclays also downgraded its net-interest margin guidance as the banking sector faces intense scrutiny from regulatory authorities regarding mortgage and savings products.

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The Lloyds share price shrugged off the recently reported slightly better than expected earnings. The bank reported a £1.86 billion in pretax profit, slightly above consensus of £1.82 billion. Additionally, Lloyds also maintained its net interest margin unlike two of its rivals. Nevertheless, Lloyds share price now sits 26.1% below its yearly high.

Lloyds Share Price Forecast

LON: LLOY recently retested the 41p support level which I predicted in my previous forecast. As a result. the chart below also shows the shares gaining acceptance below 41p after retesting the key level for resistance.

Since the price has confirmed its break below 41p, a retest of the 38.5 support level seems very probable. Therefore, the only way to flip the Lloyds share price forecast bullish on a higher timeframe is to reclaim the 41p key level. This seems unlikely to occur anytime soon.

Lloyds share price 1D chart
LON: LLOY Analysis