USD Index: Further Upside Off the Cards as US Retail Sales Dwindle in February

According to data released by the US Census Bureau, Retail Sales for February fell 2.7% monthly, in a report which was far worse than the 0.2% growth that analysts had expected. This was also less than January’s 8.3% increase. Furthermore, core retail sales came out 3.0% lower, disappointing the markets (expectation of -0.5%). 

However, the negative impact of the report was brightened by the aspect of the report that indicated a 6.0% rise in the retail sales for December 2020 through February 2021 when compared with a year earlier. 

Thus, there is a mildly bearish sentiment on the US Dollar for the day, with the DXY now trading 0.05% in the red as of the time of writing.

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The markets now look towards tomorrow’s FOMC meeting for further direction on the USD.

Technical Outlook for USD Index

By today’s intraday drop, the price has stalled at 91.906. A break above this area allows for a potential retest of 92.50. with bulls potentially forcing a move towards 92.803 and 93.173. 

On the other hand, a potential decline from rejection at the 91.906 resistance forms declining tops, which could precipitate a drop towards 91.50, with a possibility of attaining 91.261 and 90.965 respectively. 

USD Index; Daily Chart