AUDUSD Stalls At 0.6929 for Fourth Consecutive Day, Intraday Support at 0.69

Summary:
  • AUDUSD trades 0.40% higher after Reserve Bank of Australia kept the interest rate on hold at a record low 0.75%. RBA has already cut rates three times

AUDUSD trades 0.40% higher after Reserve Bank of Australia kept the interest rate on hold at a record low 0.75%. RBA has already cut rates three times and sounded cautiously optimistic today, pointed out that a turning point appears to have been reached.

The pair failed earlier today to break above the three-month highs at 0.6929 for fourth day in arow; The bullish momentum gained traction after the pair pierced above the 100-day moving average getting a boost from the interest rate cut from Fed and the positive news on the US-China trade negotiations. Investors also cheered the positive Brexit deal developments as UK is heading for general election in December.

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On the data front, yesterday the ANZ Australian Job Advertisements fell to -1.0% m/m in October following a gain of 0.3% m/m in September. Job Advertisements are now 11.4% lower than a year ago. Australia Retail Sales s.a. (month over month) came in at 0.2% in line with expectations in September. Australia TD Securities Inflation (month over month) remained unchanged at 0.1% in October.

AUDUSD Resistance and Support

AUDUSD failed to make fresh three-month highs and turned lower close to the 0.69 support mark. AUDUSD short term outlook remains bullish for now despite the rejection at 0.69296; The rebound from 10-year lows gained traction above the 50 and 100-day moving average that now provides a safety net for the Aussie.

On the downside, first support for AUDUSD stands at 0.6763 the today’s low and then at 0.6849 the 100-day moving average, while more bids will emerge at 0.6802 the 50-day moving average. A sustained move below will open the way for a visit down to 10-year lows. On the flip side, first resistance stands at 0.6927 today’s high and then at 0.6952 the 200-day moving average. A break above might signal a move to the next hurdle at 0.70 the high from July 24th.