- Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis are the two main ways to trade. But what do they entail and which one is more important?
Fundamental Analysis
The primary objective of fundamental analysis is to find out how much an asset is worth while ignoring market noise. It’s involves digging deep to find out an asset’s intrinsic value based on its historical performance, market trends and the geopolitical and macroeconomic factors that might affect its performance.
This method looks at both qualitative and quantitative aspects, such as economic, financial, and other factors. A fundamental analyst is someone who believes that an asset’s market price will, over time, represent its real worth. But numbers aren’t the only thing that matters in fundamental analysis. It also requires a lot of qualitative analysis.
How to Do Fundamental Analysis
For fundamental research, one has to look at things like the company’s financial documents (such as income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow), reports on earnings and growth potential. Also, qualitative factors like the caliber of management, and macroeconomic indicators such as growth in GDP, interest rates, and inflation are weighed.
Also, fundamental analysts like to use financial statistics like EPS (Earnings Per Share) P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings), the PEG Ratio, the ROE (Return on Equity), and the Debt-to-Equity Ratio and often they compare this to the corresponding figures from market competitors to help make objective conclusions
Characteristics of Fundamental Analysis
As highlighted above, fundamental analysis focuses on long-term value. It is based on real-world data and business performance. It helps investors understand the company they’re investing in. This calls for deep research and having to keep up with news and any other developmental that could impact market sentiment. Also,fundamental analysis is not great for timing trades and can be slow to reflect in the market.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is all about price behavior and market psychology. Instead of diving into company balance sheets or CEO interviews, technical analysts (often called “chartists”) look at stock/Forex/commodities/crypto charts to figure out what might happen next. The idea is based on the assumption that everything you need to know, be it earnings, news, rumors, even investor sentiment is already reflected in the stock price.
In addition, chartists believe that prices don’t move randomly. Instead, they follow patterns and trends that tend to repeat over time.
Tools Used In Technical Analysis
Some of the key tools and concepts used in technical analysis include:
- Price Charts: . A price chart is just a visual story of how a stock has moved over a particular time frame. It can be seconds, minutes, days, weeks, months or even years. There are different styles of charts, but some of the most popular ones include:
- Support and Resistance: These levels act like psychological barriers, and traders use them to guess the direction the price might turn. Support is the level at which price tends to stop falling and start climbing, while Resistance is where it often stops rising and pulls back. By knowing these levels, traders are able to place their buy or sell orders at appropriate positions.
- Moving Averages: Moving averages help identify the overall trend of an asset over a defined period, e.g. 20 days, 50 days, 100 days etc. They tell us whether the price has been on a general upward direction, trading sideways or going downward. This can make it easier to guest the trajectory the price will follow in the near, medium or long-term, and can also act as dynamic support and resistance levels.
- Technical Indicators: These are mathematical calculations that help assess the accuracy and reliability of technical analysis setups by measuring things like momentum, volatility and trend strength.
Characteristics of Technical Analysis
Unlike Fundamental Analysis, technical analysis looks purely at the actual trades being conducted and assesses the momentum to identify opportune entry and exit points. It is useful for timing trades and you can apply it to any tradeable asset. Furthermore, it works great even with the shortest time frames because you do not need to wait for news announcements like mergers, acquisitions, earnings releases to make a decision.
However, the downside to it is that patterns often shift trajectory without warning and even the most perfectly analysed trade setup can fail to yield the desired results. Also, blinding your eyes to market fundamentals is a risky affair because of the impact they have on investor psych. Finally, there’s a real risk of overtrading when you are purely driven by chart patterns.
Why You Should Combine Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Why Technical and Fundamental Analysis Should Be Combined for many investors, what matters is the end result, and not whether they should choose either technical of fundamental analysis. Successful trades usually require one to employ both approaches because that gives you a broader perspective of the market. Therefore, your decision making is not up to a vote in this case. It has been proven that using both technical and fundamental analysis is by far a much more effective and successful than choosing one of them.
In Conclusion
Fundamental analysis takes an in-depth look at the intrinsic value of a company/asset and is effective in building portfolios with a long-term time frame in mind. You will be able to be more objective and make better decisions when you stick to data-driven analysis, geopolitical and macroeconomic factors that could ultimately impact performance in a greater way than short-term market noise.
On the other hand, technical analysis gives you the freedom to enter the market at any time and is an effective tool for traders looking to profit on transient trends and volatility. However, the best approach is to use both analyses to ensure that you optimise your results.
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