S&P 500
S&P 500

S&P Drops As Polls Indicate 12-point Lead for Biden Over Trump

Summary:
  • S&P 500 index is down today after US President Trump slips further in a new Fox News presidential campaign poll released today.

The S&P 500 has given up the little gains it attained earlier in the day after a new Fox News poll shows that Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden has widened his lead over incumbent President Donald Trump from 8 points to 12 points. A random sampling survey which President Trump has dismissed as “phoney” showed 45% of respondents strongly disapproved of Trump’s work as president, against 27% and 17% who either strongly approved or somewhat approved Trump’s presidency. 

On how Trump has handled the US economy, 49% approved, 46% disapproved, and 4% indicated they did not know. Trump’s worst performance was on race relations scorecard, 61% showing disapproval and only 32% approved. 

President Trump’s tenure had seen an unprecedented recovery in the stock markets and US employment, endearing him to Wall Street and investors on the S&P 500. In contrast, Joe Biden has been moderately critical of Wall Street, but nowhere near the open hostility shown by former Democratic frontrunner Bernie Sanders. 

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President Trump dismissed the poll roundly, citing 2016 polls which indicated a landslide loss for him but which all ended up being wrong. Investors on the S&P 500 do not seem to like the poll outcome, and the index is trading 0.37% lower.

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Outlook for S&P 500 Index

The S&P 500 index was rejected at the 3137.0 resistance, and the pullback is now on. 3070.8 looks like the immediate target for the index, with a breakdown of this zone clearing the pathway towards the support zone which has 2961.4 as its floor and 3028.3 as its ceiling. 

In contrast, further upside recovery of the S&P 500 depends on price breaking above the 3228.4 price level, with 3257.8 and 3335.5 being in line as new targets if the S&P advances. A pullback and bounce at any of the support levels may be required to deliver this outcome.