October 2024

The Nifty 50 index faced a roller-coaster ride this week as corporate earnings and sectoral performances created mixed investor sentiment. With results from major companies rolling in, the index's performance reflected both optimism and caution. Let’s break down the key drivers and trends that shaped the Nifty 50 this week. A Snapshot of Nifty 50's Performance The week started with Nifty 50 slightly down due to a careful global perspective and investors taking some profits at the beginning. Throughout the week, the index's overall sentiment fluctuated due to the earnings announcements causing moments of volatility, resulting in both gains and losses. By midweek, the index saw a dip of 0.5%, closing at 24,275.5 points, reflecting investor concerns over select earnings misses. How Earnings Season Shaped Market Moves This earnings season was unpredictable; here are the key takeaways: Banking Sector Weakness: - Major banks faced headwinds as quarterly results revealed rising provisions. IndusInd Bank, a key component of Nifty Bank, saw a sharp drop following its earnings announcement, dragging the Nifty 50 lower. The stress in its microfinance portfolio led to cautious investor sentiment across the sector. IT Sector Resilience: - In contrast, the IT sector demonstrated strength, helping to cushion the Nifty 50’s decline. Stocks like Infosys and TCS recorded gains driven by robust earnings and positive forward guidance, reflecting strong demand in global markets. This upward momentum in IT stocks contributed positively to the index. Consumer Goods Sector Mixed Results: - Varun Beverages’ impressive performance, driven by international demand, provided a temporary boost to the index. Meanwhile, other consumer goods stocks struggled amid concerns over monsoon-affected domestic sales, which tempered investor enthusiasm. Chart Analysis of Nifty 50 The Nifty 50's recent price action indicates a clear downward trend, as evidenced by the chart below: Bearish Momentum: The 15-minute candlestick chart shows a consistent series of red candles, indicating strong selling pressure throughout the week. This bearish trend is largely attributed to weak banking earnings, which spurred broader market selling. RSI Levels: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 25.79, placing the index in oversold territory. It even reached a low of 21.46, signaling deep oversold conditions, which may suggest a potential short-term rebound if buying momentum resumes. Auto Sector Volatility: The automobile sector had a volatile week, with Tata Motors gaining traction following Jaguar Land Rover’s expansion plans. However, concerns over rising input costs limited further gains. Nifty 50 Weekly Chart Analysis Key Levels to Watch for Nifty 50 With the index currently hovering around 24,116.30, the following technical levels are worth monitoring: Support Level: Immediate support lies around 24,100, a critical zone that needs to hold to prevent further selling pressure. Resistance Level: On the upside, resistance remains at 24,500, a key hurdle for any sustained upward movement. Resistance Level: On the upside, resistance remains at 24,500, a key hurdle for any sustained upward movement. Outlook for the Next Week As the earnings season continues, more results from major Nifty 50 companies are anticipated. Investors should watch closely for the following; Upcoming Earnings: Results from leading sectors, particularly banking and consumer goods, will be crucial in shaping the index's next move. Global Market Cues: Any developments in the US economic landscape or geopolitical tensions could further influence the Nifty 50’s performance.