Brent Crude Oil Price Forecast: ‘Could Go Parabolic Soon’

Summary:
  • The Brent crude oil price has continued its bullish trend as investors focus on the rising global demand. The price rose to a high of $122.17

The Brent crude oil price has continued its bullish trend as investors focus on the rising global demand. The price rose to a high of $122.17, which was the highest point since May 23rd. It has risen by more than 26% from the lowest level on May 16th. The price remains below the year-to-date high of $137. The WTI price is trading at $120, which is lower than the YTD high.

Crude oil prices are still at elevated levels as investors focus on a major warning by one of the biggest traders in the world. In a statement this week, the CEO of Trafigura said that oil prices could go parabolic soon. He warned that prices could surge above $150 as demand continues rising and Russian supply takes a hit. 

Oil demand is expected to keep rising as the Chinese economy reopens. This is evidenced that the country’s total exports rose by over 16.9% while imports rose by 4.1%. Its total trade surplus widened to over $78 billion in May, signalling that the economy is doing significantly well. 

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Meanwhile, gasoline prices are still soaring in the United States. Analysts believe that the average gasoline price in the US will reach $5 on Friday. This is a record level considering that prices were averaging $4.5 on Monday this week. 

Brent crude oil price prediction

In my previous oil forecast, I wrote that the uptrend to $130 was intact. The daily chart shows that the Brent crude oil price continued rallying this week. The price is trading at $122.22, which was the highest point since March. It has surged above the 25-day and 50-day moving averages while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved close to the overbought level of 75.

The price is slightly above the key support at $114.96, which was the highest point on April 18th. Therefore, the outlook of crude will keep rising as investors target the year-to-date high if $137. A move below the support at $114 will invalidate the bullish view.

crude oil price