Expedia Stock’s Extended Decline: Risk or Opportunity?

Summary:
  • Expedia stock has recently struggled to build upside momentum and currently trades below its 20-day SMA. We asses its near-term outlook.

Travel giant Expedia Group (NASDAQ: EXPE) shares have been swinging significantly recently, putting investors on the edge. Expedia stock price is at $212 as of this writing, which is just over the neckline of what looks like a typical double-bottom pattern on the daily chart. If you like technicals, this setup screams “reversal potential.” But let’s talk about whether the market is ready for a lift-off or if this is just another false dawn.

Should you buy Expedia stock?

First, the double-bottom pattern. EXPE went near $209 in early September because many were worried about how slow summer travel would be. It then recovered back, only to hit that level again in early-October as hurricane season made people nervous about booking. But is the stock’s reversal close? Recent TradingView scans show that volume is going up, which means that buyers are testing things out.

There’s little denying that the travel industry has tailwinds. Tourism around the world is coming back strong. The World Travel & Tourism Council says that international arrivals are up 12% year-over-year through Q3 2025. This is because visa regulations are getting less strict and people are ready to travel again.

Expedia’s Q3 profits were better than expected, with revenue rising 8% to $3.8 billion thanks to a boom in family trips on VRBO. Recent financial results from the corporation make a compelling case for an optimistic outlook. It beat its results for Q2 2025, reporting $4.24 EPS versus the expected $3.96. It then raised its full-year revenue growth prediction to a healthier 3-5%.

Expedia Stock Forecast

Expedia stock’s daily chart shows bearish momentum, with the RSI at 43. Primary resistance is at $218.31, which currently serves as the 20-day SMA. S break above that level could see EXPE price break above that level to $222.80 and potentially higher to test $228.10 near weekly highs. On the downside, initial support will likely be at $208.60. However, if the sellers extend their control, it could go lower and test the psychological $200.

Expedia stock price as of November 5, 2025. Source: TradingView

Is Expedia stock a likely to reverse?

Yes, the fundamental market conditions are supportive. The company posted strong Q2 earnings and a raised full-year guidance. A high-growth global consumer demand for travel, provide a robust economic runway for a technical breakout.

What is the best strategy for investing in Expedia now?

At current levels, the setup on Expedia stock signals upside if it breaks the 20-day SMA. Risk looks manageable with a tight stop. However, investors should wait for confirmation to avoid a false start.

What is the primary risk on Expedia double-bottom pattern?

The main risk on Expedia stock is potential invalidation of the double-top pattern. If the stock fails to break the $220 neckline and drops below the support level of $200, the bullish setup would be negated. That could potentially signal deeper weakness.

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