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eurusd

EUR/USD Signal: EU Retail Sales and Unemployment Rate in Focus

Summary:
  • In this EUR/USD signal, we explain why the bearish trend will likely remain in the near term ahead of the EU retail sales and unemployment rate data

The EUR/USD price is in search of direction ahead of the latest EU retail sales and unemployment rate data. It is trading at 1.2055, which is a few pips above yesterday’s low of 1.2042.

EUR/USD news: The EURUSD price reacted mildly to the EU and US services PMI numbers that were released yesterday. The numbers showed that in general, the sector is on a path to recovery though significant challenges remain. The pair also wavered after the relatively weak US jobs numbers. 

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Today, focus will be on the EU retail sales numbers that will come out at 10:00 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show that the overall retail sales declined by 1.1% in January after rising by 2.0% in December. On an annualised basis, they expect the sales to fall by 1.2% because of the lockdowns that were announced during the month. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged.

Still, these numbers will not have a major impact on these numbers. That’s because the situation in Europe has started to improve as vaccinations go on.

EUR/USD signal

The EURUSD price is trading at 1.2057. On the 2-hour chart, this price is between the first and second support levels of the Andrews Pitchfork tool. The price is also slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and the 15-day and 25-day moving averages. Therefore, in my view, the bearish trend will remain so long as the pair is below the median line of the pitchfork at 1.2130. 

EURUSD chart

EUR/USD