Gold prices

2 Reasons Why Gold Price is Falling Amid a Strong Bitcoin Rally

Summary:
  • Gold price is under pressure at a time when the price of Bitcoin is rallying because of reduced risks in the market and rotation to other cryptocurrencies

Gold price is in trouble. Yesterday, it dropped to a low of $1,820, which is the lowest it has been since July 20. And today, it is trading at $1,831, which is 11% below its YTD high of $2,075. Silver price is also under pressure, down by 0.50% today.

There are two primary reasons why gold price is struggling. First, the recent developments on a Covid vaccine has been bad news for gold and other safe havens, including the US dollar. That’s because gold is mostly seen as a hedge against risks in the market. As such, with a Covid vaccine, investors have started pricing-in a situation with fewer lockdowns and higher interest rates.

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Second, the price of gold is struggling because of Bitcoin and other digital currencies. In the past week, all major cryptocurrencies have rallied by more than 10% leading to rotation from gold. Today, Bitcoin is trading at $18,435 while Ethereum and Ripple have surged to $610 and $0.71, respectively.

Gold and Bitcoin price divergence

Gold price technical outlook

In my report yesterday, I pointed that gold price would remain in a consolidation state before breaking lower to $1,800. In reality, the price managed to move below the lower support of $1,847 before settling at $1,820.

By breaking-out lower, it means that bears prevailed, which means that the price will likely continue falling. If it does that, the next level to watch will be $1,800 followed by $1,750. On the flip side, a move above $1,900 will invalidate that prediction.

Gold technical chart

Gold Price