Crude Oil Price Outlook: Sentiment Remains Weak Despite 5.82% Rebound on Monday

Summary:
  • Crude oil price on the Brent benchmark rises 5.82% this Monday, as the US Dollar's strength unwound slightly as a result of profit-taking.

Crude oil prices got a lift on Monday, as a weaker US Dollar allowed Brent crude to rebound strongly. The Brent crude benchmark rose strongly by more than 5% after traders opted for risky appetite, following the biggest weekly loss in more than nine months. Last week, Brent crude oil fell by 8% as the Fed’s decision to start tapering in late 2021 sent the US Dollar soaring. 

Apart from the day’s rebound, which is more of a rally in a downtrend on the near-term charts, sentiment on crude oil remains weak as the overall fundamentals have not changed. 

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Crude Oil Price Prediction

The recovery in crude oil price has breached the 67.74 resistance but stopped short of the 70.01 resistance mark due to a stall on the descending trendline resistance. If the price can overcome this level, 70.01 becomes available. There is also a chance of 71.44 and 73.34 becoming relevant if there is an additional advance on the asset.

Otherwise, rejection at the descending trendline resistance allows for a resumption of the downtrend, targeting 67.74 and 66.81 along the way. A further decline makes 65.95 and 64.64 potentially available, with a breakdown of the latter creating an opportunity to retest 4-month lows at 62.33.

Crude Oil Price: Daily Chart