NZDUSD trades 0.42% lower at 0.6308 after the optimism around trade talks between the two biggest economies fades away. Last week, New Zealand’s manufacturing PMI in September came in unchanged in August at 48.4. NZDUSD felt pressure after RBA cut interest rates and investors increase bets that RBNZ will follow. RBNZ, in its last monetary policy committee, left interest rates unchanged at 1% as expected by markets. The central bank noted that the risks are to the downside amid trade tensions, geopolitical turbulence and low business confidence.
NZDUSD stalled on Friday at 0.6353 the 50-day moving average and today sellers are aking advantage cancelling the two days positive momentum. On the downside, immediate support stands at 0.6296 daily low and then at 0.6254 the low from October 3rd, a convincing break below might force the pair down to 0.6169 the lows from June 2009. On the upside, immediate resistance stands 0.6334 today’s high, the next target is the 50-day moving average at 0.6357. NZDUSD short term outlook is neutral now but for the long term the momentum is bearish, a visit down to 2015 lows can’t be ruled out.Download our latest quarterly market outlookfor our longer-term trade ideas.
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